A political analyst renowned for his accurate predictions of US elections since 1984, has forecasted a victory for Vice President Kamala Harris in the upcoming November election.
Allan Lichtman, who correctly anticipated Donald Trump’s win in 2016 and Joe Biden’s in 2020, bases his prediction on his “13 Keys to the White House” methodology. According to Lichtman, Harris has secured 6 of these keys, compared to only 3 for Republican presidential candidate Trump.
With four keys yet to be assigned, Lichtman indicates that Harris’s strong position suggests “a lot would have to go wrong for Democrats to lose.” Lichtman plans to make his final prediction following the Democratic National Convention.
NEW: Forecaster who has predicted almost every election since 1984, says Kamala Harris will likely win the election in November.Allan Lichtman, who correctly predicted Trump would win in 2016 & Biden in 2020, says his forecasts point to a Harris win.
Lichtman uses ’13 keys’ to… pic.twitter.com/US6LMgvWlH
— Collin Rugg (@CollinRugg) July 29, 2024
Trump’s campaign will launch a $10 million advertising blitz in six battleground states this week as it tries to counter a surge of voter enthusiasm and donations for his Democratic rival Harris. It is Trump’s biggest ad buy since January, when he was fighting off Republican rivals for the party’s nomination.
Since President Joe Biden dropped out last week and endorsed Harris, she has rapidly consolidated support within the Democratic Party and from big-money donors. She has also sparked a newfound energy among groups such as young voters that Biden had been struggling to win over.
After months of attacks on Biden’s fitness for office, Trump’s campaign has had to pivot to find a new message to use against the younger and more dynamic Harris, 59, less than 100 days until the Nov. 5 election. On Monday, Trump, 78, released an ad on his Truth Social platform using Harris’s own words from old interviews, campaign events and debates to try to portray her as an extreme liberal out of touch with everyday Americans, particularly in the Rust Belt.
In response, Harris accused the Trump campaign of lying about her record.
“Vice President Harris has been a key leader in working across the aisle to pass the Biden-Harris administration’s historic, popular agenda,” said Harris spokesperson Sarafina Chitika.
(With agency inputs)
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